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I took a look at my excess returns for 2010 and there's some advice that he dispensed in Real Money: Sane Investing in an Insane World to which I should have paid closer attention.
Now, I'm paraphrasing, but Jim said amateurs worry about not making enough money, and professionals worry about making too much money. At first, that statement pissed me off. It seemed like the sort of formulaic advice that's hip right now: take something that everyone thinks is true and just say the opposite. Are you drowning in the sea? Don't try to swim, try to sink! Then, when you get into the details of the advice, you realize they're actually recommending swimming, not sinking. A lot of articles on the internet are set up like this, just to catch your attention. It's bullshit. However, in the context of excess returns, that's actually awesome advice. In May of this year, I had returns 25% greater those of the Dow Jones. That was an aberration. I'm not good enough at investing to sustain returns that high. Had I really understood the advice, I would have either sold out of a few of my positions and held cash, or gone long puts to protect myself against the inevitable correction. Too late on a smart play, AGAIN. Oh well, I have to learn these lessons to get better, right?
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